If the sharks win this week they stay 2 points ahead of us and we are chasing the 4. However if the Bunnies win they close to 2 pts behind us. I think we have 8 pts left this season. I doubt we'll do the roosters (on balance) so if we win the other 4 it puts us on 38.
The sharks run home is Bunnies, Dragons, Raiders, Titans, Eels, Storm. I see the main threat obviously as the Raiders game but the Storm blow hot and cold and could do us a favour. Is they lose to the bunnies and raiders they are on 36 points going into the the Melbourne game. We are 71 points down on difference so it looks like that huge lose will trash our top 4 chance if we end up equal.
The bunnies have a horrible run home after this. Eels, Dogs, Warriors, Titans, Roosters. you'd pick NZ and the Roosters to do them and probably the Dogs if they can sort their shit out like they've done today.
5th looks like our most likely outcome. Bunnies, Knights Dogs and the shit show in townsville are 4 pts down and we would have to have some serious banana skins to drop to 6th.